This blog is about competition. Not just sports, or games, or politics, or economics, or decision-making, or relationships, but possibly about any or all of these things. It will use examples from current events to illustrate broader ideas. Or so I hope. It begins at the start of 2012.

Thursday, April 26, 2012

12-04-26 World Peace Suspended Until Early May

Thankfully this is not news of an airstrike (at least nowhere new, anyway).  Instead, it goes to show that if you rename yourself Metta World Peace (formerly Ronald Artest), people like me will find it highly amusing when you are suspended 7 games for a violent elbowing foul in an NBA game.

That likely seems like an unusually large suspension, but I am sure that it takes into account Artest's previous behavior, which includes being suspended 86 games for entering the stands and physically attacking fans back in 2004.

Sunday, April 15, 2012

12-04-15 The Miami Marlins toy


Well, with the start of the baseball season I cannot resist providing the following:


The Brewers have now lost the title of strangest baseball-related kitschy crowd-pleaser to the Florida Miami Marlins.  The sausage race just does not match with this.

As an extra bonus, before you rename your team be sure to buy the website for it:


Edit:  Posted today, the 15th.  Who knew it would take more than a week to actually be used?

Sunday, April 1, 2012

12-04-01

Moved the blog here to scorelessdraw.blogspot.com!  Yay!

Happy April Fools?

12-03-25 Roadblocks


Many suspect that more roads are ‘under construction’ than is strictly necessary, with the main beneficiary being the construction companies themselves, who lobby to receive larger government contracts.  This rent-seeking behavior is extremely annoying and woefully inefficient for society due to the enormous amounts of gas that is wasted.  One suspects that at least some of this effort is intended to make the roads safer, of course.  Not so much with these roadblocks:

Mullinville, Kansas has its Elm Street closed to traffic by a private citizen.  An M. T. Liggett, who owns property adjacent to the road, claims that the city lost the rights to the road due to misfiling some paperwork…back in 1949 (KWCH-12 News), even though the road has been maintained by the city for the intervening 63 years.  Mr. Liggett is demanding the issue be settled in court, while the city would prefer to negotiate.

Two days ago, in Hyattstown, Maryland, an armored truck apparently spilled ‘a snow globe of cash’ onto I-270 (WTOP 103.5 FM).  This accident resulted in chaos as the road was impeded, because 30 vehicles stopped to help…loot the area.  The police are asking for the money to be returned, no questions asked.  Good luck with that.  On the other hand, one expects the discipline for the driver to be severe.

12-03-10 250 to one


It seems likely that regardless of the resolution of this bitter primary fight, one loser will be the caucus system, simply because it is not terribly fair.  Consider these results (calculated by CNN, delegate numbers do not match the total because some delegates are not automatically assigned).

Wyoming Results
Candidate
Votes
Delegates
Votes/Delegate
Romney
822
13
63.2
Santorum
673
7
96.1
Paul
439
4
110
Gingrich
165
1
165
Other
9
0
n/a
Total
2108
29
72.7

Ohio Results
Candidate
Votes
Delegates
Votes/Delegate
Romney
456513
35
13043
Santorum
446225
19
23486
Gingrich
175554
0
n/a
Paul
111238
0
n/a
Total
1189530
66
18023

Thus, a vote cast in Wyoming is worth 250x as much as a vote in Ohio.  This is especially bad given that Ohio is a swing state, and Wyoming is not.  Just for fun, consider that Guam had 215 votes cast (207 for Romney, 8 uncommitted and none for anyone else!) and assigns 9 delegates, for a ratio of 23.9 votes/delegate.

Thus, the Republican Party (who determines the delegate distribution) appears to have decided that they care about each Guam voter (who cannot even vote in the general election) as much as 750 Ohio voters.

12-03-03 Rush Limbaugh


Apparently, even Rush Limbaugh’s sponsors have limits.  In a victory for human civility, Rush was driven to apologize for his recent anti-contraceptive character attack on a Georgetown student.  To be precise, he apologized for his ‘choice of words’.  Rather an understatement, given that he called her a ‘slut’ on the national airwaves, repeatedly, and demanded exotic video from her in exchange for government-funded contraceptives.

12-02-24 HOW much?!?


Game theory can easily explain many financial crimes, as it can be treated as an investment with odds of a positive or negative payout.  Due to the negative payout being rather severe (jail time, for example), one easily-drawn conclusion is that if you intend to make money through financial crime, it is probably advantageous to commit one big crime that if successful will be enough for a lifetime, rather than a bunch of minor crimes.  This could probably be labeled the Madoff Principle over its most famous proponent. 

Like any rule, you can take it to logical extremes.  For example, The police and governance of Southern Italy is usually considered at best amongst the First World’s ‘least authoritarian’, and at worst rather inactive in the face of organized crime.  It turns out that there’s a level of fraud that will draw the attention of the authorities even there.

For example, if you try to conduct a fraud for $6,000,000,000,000 US dollars (Six TRILLION) using fake Billion-dollar US bonds, it will not work.  Someone is going to look into it, even if the police responsible to investigate are from Potenza, a rural inland Southern Italian town of about 70,000 people.  According to Reuters, last week eight criminals were arrested for this crime.  Apparently the “year-long investigation...began as an investigation into mafia loan-sharking, but gradually expanded.”  Hopefully, not too much of that year was required to determine that your average collection of 6000 billion dollar US bonds (about 1/3 of the value of all US bonds issued!) is probably fake, although the U.S. Embassy to Italy mentioned in a press release that “U.S. experts” were responsible for recognizing the fraudulent bonds. 

Also, apparently in northern Italy a similar fraud was attempted and stopped in 2009.  I had not heard of this incident, probably because only the paltry sum of $742,000,000,000 US dollars ($742 billion) was involved that time.

12-02-15 When Madonna is not enough...


You might consider this:  Some people somewhere feel strongly that Weird Al’s universal appeal makes him the ideal candidate for performing at the Super Bowl halftime show.

http://www.change.org/petitions/the-national-football-league-nerds-everywhere-weird-al-yankovic-performs-the-super-bowl-xlvii-half-time-show

12-02-02 Seventy-Four Dead in Cai-ai-ro


Attention turns again to unrest in Egypt, as Al Masry football fans stormed the field to celebrate a 3-1 home victory over Cairo’s Al Ahly.  The result is an upset of sorts, as Al Ahly has been Africa’s most successful team.  The deaths of 74 people resulted as the fans chased the losing team’s players and fans out of the stadium with “knives, clubs and stones” (NYTimes).  Apparently police had been instructed to not search the fans for weapons before the game, and indeed not to interfere in the brawl.  Apparently the national security forces intended to use any trouble at the game as an excuse to maintain martial law in light of the upcoming scheduled transfer of power to the elected government.

Fans of Tonya Harding will note that Ittihad El-Shorta (Police Union), the team owned and operated by the Egyptian National Police, is currently tied with Al Masry in fourth place in the standings about halfway through the season, and are thus in earnest competition with both teams for African Champions League qualification.

Apparently video footage shows police officers notably not helping deal with the crowd or even the injured.  Against that villainy, it’s still worth wondering why this sport continues to observe such violence.  Notably, while 74 deaths at a soccer match seems like a lot, it doesn’t even crack the top 5 most deadly soccer matches (OddCulture.com).  Interestingly, the top 5 all occurred on different continents, with only Oceania thus far spared a catastrophic game.  With this event, the top 15 have all occurred in different stadiums now.

12-02-01 Republican Primary


As we look at the Republican primary, after Florida, state number 4, Romney is now an 8:1 favorite over the field to be nominated, according to those willing to put their money on the line for it.  CNN and the other stations, however, are going to keep inundating us with details, because there’s really no incentive for them not to do so.  After all, what sort of meaningful content is cheaper than paying some guy to read statistics off a computer screen?  Not to mention the money from the TV ads themselves.

One might think that the media has an incentive to keep the appearance of a close race.  Certainly the losing candidates do, but possibly Romney does as well.  His ratings decreased when he began to act as the presumptive nominee.  They improved again, once people remembered that the alternative is Gingrich.  I wonder how Romney would do against “A randomly selected registered Republican eligible to be president” if such an option were available on the ballot. 

12-01-11 Penny...Penny...Penny


Random fact of the day:  Neither the penny nor the nickel is allowed to be exported out of the United States.  The penalty for such an action is a fine of up to $10,000 dollars and/or 5 years jail time.

Due to either extensive investment or excessive speculation in the commodities market (depending on your point of view and preference for buying such luxuries as food and energy), the zinc market has inflated to the point where the metal within the penny (mostly zinc) had exceeded the value of one cent.  The same policy prevents melting down the coins in the US either (obviously, the US government can do nothing about people melting down coins once they are exported).

Interestingly, this policy was implemented in April 2007, prior to the economic crash.  Even more interestingly, the implementation of this policy correlates with a sudden, rapid collapse of the zinc market that resulted in the metal losing one third of its value by the end of 2007 (It continued downwards into 2008 and dropped precipitously with the economic crash, and has recovered to its end-of-2007 value today).

The unanswerable question is, of course:  How much was the world’s consumption of zinc (an important resource for rust-proofing steel, by the way) modified by people buying lots of pennies, shipping them abroad and melting them down for an approximately 0.3 cent/penny margin?

12-01-07 15 Years for Excessive Celebration


Wow.  This may be the worst celebration of the biggest play of a player’s career ever, and it didn’t happen in soccer.  Almost certainly the 99-yard fumble recovery touchdown by the West Virginia safety Darwin Cook was the biggest play of the guy’s career.  After he scored, he was so euphoric that he ran about 10 yards past the camera people, the mandatory ‘event staff’ people etc. to pile-drive the Orange Bowl mascot (yes, not the other team’s mascot, the bowl’s mascot) into the wall supporting the stands (sportsgrid.com). 

The mascot, a human-sized orange, apparently sufficiently annoyed Cook with its existence that he “was looking for him” by his own admission to reporters after the game.  This apparently occurred because Cook “did not think he believed in us either”, according to his own statement after the game.  His reaction to learning that the performer in the mascot suit was a girl was pricelessly honest shocked shame.  His gaping mouth is one of the first images you find when searching his name. 

It’s hard to resist pointing out that if future girlfriends see this act as the defining moment of his football career, he might end up eligible for (sunglasses) a Darwin Award.

12-01-01 Some Facts


Finding a suitable first blog piece is difficult.  Thus, we will start with the state of the world at the start of 2012.

2012 expected GDP by nation (in T$) (from IMF WEO):

USA
15.5
China
7.7
Japan
6.1
Germany
3.7
France
2.9
Brazil
2.6
UK
2.6
Italy
2.3
Russia
2.3
India
2.2
Canada
1.9
Balance
23.9

Extra Bonus:

US  Population (US Census), ages 20-29: 

Male:               21.65 Million
Female:            21.04 Million